Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Arundel and South Downs

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Andrew Griffith
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 32%
More in Common April 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34%; Ref: 24%; LD: 15%; Green: 14%; Lab: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 47%; Ref: 31%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35%; Ref: 26%; Green: 20%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42%; Ref: 34%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29%; Ref: 26%; LD: 19%; Green: 13%; Lab: 11%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 25%; Green: 15%; LD: 14%; Lab: 11%
More in Common July 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 21%; LD: 16%; Green: 15%; Lab: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 29%; LD: 16%; Lab: 13%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30%; Ref: 26%; LD: 20%; Green: 13%; Lab: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 26%; LD: 16%; Lab: 14%; Green: 11%
More in Common April 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 19%; Green: 15%; Lab: 15%; LD: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 21%; LD: 15%; Lab: 13%; Green: 10%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39%; Ref: 21%; LD: 18%; Lab: 12%; Green: 10%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100%

2024 results

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 12134 (22.16%)
Turnout: 70.21%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Andrew Griffith	Conservative and Unionist Party	22001	40.2%
Richard James Allen	Liberal Democrats	9867	18.0%
Chris Philipsborn	Labour Party	9782	17.9%
David Thomas	Reform UK	7391	13.5%
Steve McAuliffe	Green Party	5515	10.1%
Mike Smith	Social Democratic Party	184	0.3%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 24105 (41.48%)
Turnout: 75.5%