Note: some data is purely for testing

Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Aylesbury

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Laura Kyrke-Smith
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

ProjectionProjected resultDescription
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 24.0%; LD: 20.0%; Lab: 17.0%; Green: 12.0%
More in Common January 2026Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 18.0%; LD: 16.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025Lean RefVote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Cons: 17.0%; LD: 14.0%
YouGov September 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 22.0%; LD: 22.0%; Lab: 19.0%; Green: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 23.0%; LD: 23.0%; Lab: 18.0%
More in Common July 2025Toss-up ConsVote shares: Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 23.0%; LD: 23.0%; Ref: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025Lean RefVote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Cons: 20.0%; LD: 16.0%
YouGov June 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 21.0%; LD: 19.0%; Green: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025Toss-up ConsVote shares: Cons: 26.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 23.0%; LD: 16.0%
More in Common April 2025Lean ConsVote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 22.0%; LD: 22.0%; Ref: 18.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025Toss-up ConsVote shares: Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Ref: 24.0%; LD: 14.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025Toss-up ConsVote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Lab: 25.0%; LD: 20.0%; Ref: 20.0%
More in Common Dec 2024Safe ConsVictory chances: Cons: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 630 (1.26%)
Turnout: 63.08%

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Laura Kyrke-SmithLabour Party1508130.2%
Rob ButlerConservative and Unionist Party1445128.9%
Steven LambertLiberal Democrats1044020.9%
Lesley Ann TaylorReform UK674613.5%
Julie Elizabeth AtkinsGreen Party25905.2%
Jan GajdosWorkers Party of Britain5161.0%
Richard Lewis WildingSocial Democratic Party1160.2%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 16640 (28.74%)
Turnout: 76.5%

PartyVotesShare
Conservative2992451.7%
Labour1328422.9%
Liberal Democrats1267021.9%
Green17012.9%
Reform UK3090.5%