Birmingham Northfield
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Laurence Turner
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Lab: 17.0%; Green: 14.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 50.0%; Lab: 33.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Cons: 17.0%; Green: 12.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 41.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 19.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 41.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 19.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 16.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Green: 11.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 23.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 31.0%; Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 20.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 35.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 23.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Likely Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 89.2% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 5389 (14.31%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laurence Turner | Labour Party | 14929 | 39.6% |
| Gary Sambrook | Conservative and Unionist Party | 9540 | 25.3% |
| Stephen Richard Peters | Reform UK | 7895 | 21.0% |
| Rob Grant | Green Party | 2809 | 7.5% |
| Jerry Evans | Liberal Democrats | 1791 | 4.8% |
| Altaf Hussain | Independent | 310 | 0.8% |
| Dick Rodgers | Common Good | 215 | 0.6% |
| Dean Gwilliam | Independent | 163 | 0.4% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 1478 (3.38%)
Turnout: 59.5%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 20135 | 46.1% |
| Labour | 18657 | 42.7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 2013 | 4.6% |
| Reform UK | 1661 | 3.8% |
| Green | 972 | 2.2% |
| Other | 254 | 0.6% |