Birmingham Yardley
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Jess Phillips
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Other | Vote shares: Other: 24%; Green: 23%; Ref: 18%; Lab: 15%; Cons: 11% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 26%; Lab: 23%; Other: 16%; Cons: 13%; LD: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Other: 20%; Lab: 14%; Green: 13%; Cons: 10%; LD: 10% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 26%; Lab: 25%; Green: 16%; LD: 16%; Cons: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Lab: 19%; Other: 17%; Green: 11% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Lab: 21%; Other: 15%; Green: 13%; LD: 11% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Ind | Vote shares: Other: 28%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 19%; LD: 14%; Cons: 10% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Other: 23%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Other: 21%; Lab: 19%; LD: 11%; Cons: 10% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Ref: 25%; LD: 14%; Other: 13%; Green: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 23%; Ref: 23%; Other: 20%; Cons: 17% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 30%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 15%; Other: 15%; LD: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Other | Vote shares: Other: 25%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 15% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Lean Other | Vote shares: Other: 37%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 14% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 55%; Other: 45% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 693 (1.91%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Phillips | Labour Party | 11275 | 31.2% |
| Jody McIntyre | Workers Party of Britain | 10582 | 29.3% |
| Nora Kamberi | Reform UK | 5061 | 14.0% |
| Roger Kingdon Harmer | Liberal Democrats | 3634 | 10.1% |
| Yvonne Beverley Clements | Conservative and Unionist Party | 3634 | 10.1% |
| Roxanne Green | Green Party | 1958 | 5.4% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 13141 (31.35%)
Turnout: 58.3%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 24349 | 58.1% |
| Conservative | 11208 | 26.7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3743 | 8.9% |
| Reform UK | 2103 | 5.0% |
| Green | 503 | 1.2% |