Bournemouth East
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Tom Hayes
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Green: 15.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 17.0%; Green: 13.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40.0%; Lab: 34.0%; Cons: 10.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Green: 12.0%; LD: 11.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 22.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 37.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Green: 11.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Lab: 30.0%; Cons: 19.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Lab: 26.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Green: 12.0%; LD: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 24.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 26.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 23.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 35.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 20.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 98.0% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 5479 (12.19%)
Turnout: 62.07%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Hayes | Labour Party | 18316 | 40.8% |
| Tobias Ellwood | Conservative and Unionist Party | 12837 | 28.6% |
| Martin Houlden | Reform UK | 6268 | 14.0% |
| Jon Nicholas | Liberal Democrats | 3082 | 6.9% |
| Joe Salmon | Green Party | 2790 | 6.2% |
| Kieron Wilson | Independent | 1529 | 3.4% |
| Miles Penn | Social Democratic Party | 88 | 0.2% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 8817 (17.87%)
Turnout: 67.4%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 24957 | 50.6% |
| Labour | 16140 | 32.7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 5418 | 11.0% |
| Green | 2052 | 4.2% |
| Other | 761 | 1.5% |