Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Bury South

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Christian Wakeford
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 25%; Ref: 23%; Green: 19%; Cons: 18%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 20%; Green: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Lab: 29%; Cons: 14%; Green: 11%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 20%; Green: 10%; LD: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 45%; Lab: 39%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 28%; Cons: 15%; Green: 12%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 17%; LD: 12%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Ref: 30%; Cons: 20%; LD: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Lab: 29%; Cons: 15%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 18%; Green: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 28%; Cons: 22%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 22%; LD: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Ref: 29%; Cons: 18%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 39%; Cons: 24%; Ref: 22%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 100%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 9361 (22.17%)
Turnout: 56.04%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Christian Wakeford	Labour Party	19247	45.6%
Arnie Saunders	Conservative and Unionist Party	9886	23.4%
Jeff Armstrong	Reform UK	6865	16.3%
Michael Welton	Green Party	2715	6.4%
Andrew Page	Liberal Democrats	1796	4.3%
Sameera Ashraf	Workers Party of Britain	1023	2.4%
Michael Elston	Independent	277	0.7%
Stephen Morris	English Democrats	224	0.5%
Dan Ross	Communist Party of Britain	181	0.4%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 935 (1.88%)
Turnout: 66.5%