Castle Point
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Rebecca Harris
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 52%; Cons: 32% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 43%; Cons: 30%; LD: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 50%; Cons: 38% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 52%; Cons: 28% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 54%; Cons: 31% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 44%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 12% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 43%; Cons: 27%; LD: 13% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 46%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 12%; LD: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 48%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 14% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 43%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 15% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Cons: 34%; Lab: 14% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 41%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 15% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 36%; Lab: 12% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 36%; Lab: 15% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 92% |
2024 results
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 3251 (8.00%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Harris | Conservative and Unionist Party | 15485 | 38.1% |
| Keiron McGill | Reform UK | 12234 | 30.1% |
| Mark Jonathan Maguire | Labour Party | 9455 | 23.3% |
| Bob Chapman | Green Party | 2118 | 5.2% |
| James Martin Willis | Liberal Democrats | 1341 | 3.3% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 27009 (59.73%)
Turnout: 63.8%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 34611 | 76.5% |
| Labour | 7602 | 16.8% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3004 | 6.6% |