Central Suffolk and North Ipswich

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Current MP

Name: Patrick Spencer
Party: Independent
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Representation history

(In reverse chronological order, as far as the 2024 general election.)

Name	Date	Description	Party
Patrick Spencer	May 13, 2025	Whip withdrawn.	Independent
Patrick Spencer	Jul 4, 2024	2024 election.	Conservative

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 38.0%; Ref: 38.0%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 17.0%; Green: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40.0%; Cons: 35.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Green: 15.0%; Lab: 13.0%; LD: 13.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Green: 14.0%; Lab: 14.0%; LD: 14.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 25.0%; LD: 19.0%; Lab: 16.0%; Green: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 15.0%; LD: 12.0%; Green: 11.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Lab: 16.0%; Green: 15.0%; LD: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 29.0%; Lab: 16.0%; Green: 13.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 17.0%; Green: 12.0%; LD: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 15.0%; Green: 12.0%; LD: 10.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 15.0%; Green: 14.0%; LD: 14.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 4290 (9.24%)
Turnout: 63.55%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Patrick Spencer	Conservative and Unionist Party	15144	32.6%
Kevin Craig	Labour Party	10854	23.4%
Tony Gould	Reform UK	8806	19.0%
Dan Pratt	Green Party	5652	12.2%
Brett Alistair Mickelburgh	Liberal Democrats	5407	11.6%
Charlie Caiger	Independent	366	0.8%
Mike Hallatt	Independent	194	0.4%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 20213 (40.09%)
Turnout: 71%

Party	Votes	Share
Conservative	31222	61.9%
Labour	11009	21.8%
Liberal Democrats	5365	10.6%
Green	2816	5.6%