Dorking and Horley
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Chris Coghlan
Party: Liberal Democrats
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 28%; LD: 26%; Ref: 22%; Green: 10% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 31%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 31%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 22% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 28%; Ref: 27%; LD: 22%; Green: 12%; Lab: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 41%; Ref: 36%; Cons: 13% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 39%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 21% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 37%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 24% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 35%; Cons: 30%; Ref: 18%; Lab: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 34%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 22% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 40%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 20% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 30%; LD: 29%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 10% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 34%; Cons: 31%; Ref: 17%; Lab: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 33%; Cons: 29%; Ref: 21% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 34%; Cons: 32%; Ref: 21% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Lean Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 67%; LD: 33% |
2024 results
Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 5391 (10.78%)
Turnout: 69.74%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Coghlan | Liberal Democrats | 20921 | 41.9% |
| Marisa Natalie Heath | Conservative and Unionist Party | 15530 | 31.1% |
| Craig Alexander Young | Reform UK | 6898 | 13.8% |
| Nadia Burrell | Labour Party | 4053 | 8.1% |
| Lisa Claire Scott | Green Party | 2563 | 5.1% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 10381 (19.04%)
Turnout: 77.5%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 27883 | 51.2% |
| Liberal Democrats | 17502 | 32.1% |
| Labour | 5415 | 9.9% |
| Green | 2302 | 4.2% |
| Other | 1393 | 2.6% |