Eastleigh
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Liz Jarvis
Party: Liberal Democrats
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 23.0%; LD: 23.0%; Lab: 12.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; LD: 25.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 13.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; LD: 28.0%; Cons: 14.0%; Lab: 11.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 10.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 23.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 35.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 15.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 28.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 15.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 31.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 12.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; LD: 24.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 14.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Lab: 13.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 24.0%; LD: 23.0%; Lab: 17.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; LD: 30.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 12.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 99.4% |
2024 results
Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 1546 (3.33%)
Turnout: 66.35%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Jarvis | Liberal Democrats | 15970 | 34.4% |
| Samuel Joynson | Conservative and Unionist Party | 14424 | 31.1% |
| Daniel Shearer | Labour Party | 7005 | 15.1% |
| Clare Lorraine Fawcett | Reform UK | 6151 | 13.3% |
| Ben David Parry | Green Party | 2403 | 5.2% |
| Russ Kitching | Independent | 467 | 1.0% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 8641 (17.43%)
Turnout: 70.8%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 25711 | 51.9% |
| Liberal Democrats | 17070 | 34.4% |
| Labour | 5778 | 11.7% |
| Green | 1013 | 2.0% |