Eastleigh

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Liz Jarvis
Party: Liberal Democrats
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; LD: 28.0%; Cons: 14.0%; Lab: 11.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 32.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 23.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 35.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 28.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 15.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 31.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 12.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; LD: 24.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 14.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean LD	Vote shares: LD: 37.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Lab: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 24.0%; LD: 23.0%; Lab: 17.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; LD: 30.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 12.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 99.4%

2024 results

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 1546 (3.33%)
Turnout: 66.35%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Liz Jarvis	Liberal Democrats	15970
Samuel Joynson	Conservative and Unionist Party	14424
Daniel Shearer	Labour Party	7005
Clare Lorraine Fawcett	Reform UK	6151
Ben David Parry	Green Party	2403
Russ Kitching	Independent	467

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 8641 (17.43%)
Turnout: 70.8%

Party	Votes
Conservative	25711
Liberal Democrats	17070
Labour	5778
Green	1013