Gainsborough
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Edward Leigh
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Ref: 35% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 30%; Lab: 15%; LD: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 40%; Ref: 40%; Lab: 10% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 14%; LD: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 45%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 10% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 15%; LD: 13% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Cons: 27%; LD: 15%; Lab: 14% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 17%; LD: 15% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 17%; LD: 11% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 17%; LD: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 28%; Lab: 16%; LD: 11% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 31%; Lab: 18%; LD: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 30%; Lab: 17% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 31%; Lab: 20%; LD: 11% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 3532 (7.56%)
Turnout: 61.56%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Leigh | Conservative and Unionist Party | 16636 | 35.6% |
| Jess McGuire | Labour Party | 13104 | 28.1% |
| Pat O'Connor | Reform UK | 9916 | 21.2% |
| Lesley Rollings | Liberal Democrats | 5001 | 10.7% |
| Vanessa Smith | Green Party | 1832 | 3.9% |
| Tim Bray Mellors | Social Democratic Party | 196 | 0.4% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 22172 (45.13%)
Turnout: 65.7%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 32568 | 66.3% |
| Labour | 10396 | 21.2% |
| Liberal Democrats | 5088 | 10.4% |
| Other | 1070 | 2.2% |