Grantham and Bourne
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Gareth Davies
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 38%; Ref: 37% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 12%; Green: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 41%; Ref: 40% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 13%; Green: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 46%; Cons: 31% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 14%; Green: 10% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 13%; LD: 10% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 17%; LD: 15% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 15% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 18%; Green: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 30%; Lab: 15% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 33%; Ref: 30%; Lab: 19% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 31%; Lab: 16% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 29%; Lab: 21% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 4496 (9.74%)
Turnout: 62.94%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gareth Davies | Conservative and Unionist Party | 16770 | 36.4% |
| Vipul Bechar | Labour Party | 12274 | 26.6% |
| Mike Rudkin | Reform UK | 9393 | 20.4% |
| Anne Elizabeth Gayfer | Green Party | 2570 | 5.6% |
| John Vincent | Liberal Democrats | 2027 | 4.4% |
| Ian Edward Selby | Independent | 1642 | 3.6% |
| Charmaine Dawn Morgan | Lincolnshire Independents Lincolnshire First | 1245 | 2.7% |
| Alexander Leslie Mitchell | Social Democratic Party | 204 | 0.4% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 22393 (45.83%)
Turnout: 67.8%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 32152 | 65.8% |
| Labour | 9759 | 20.0% |
| Liberal Democrats | 4407 | 9.0% |
| Green | 2108 | 4.3% |
| Other | 426 | 0.9% |