Hamble Valley

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Paul Holmes
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 26.0%; LD: 19.0%; Lab: 11.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; LD: 28.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; LD: 28.0%; Ref: 28.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; LD: 29.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 14.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 28.0%; LD: 22.0%; Lab: 12.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; LD: 29.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; Ref: 23.0%; LD: 21.0%; Lab: 13.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; LD: 27.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; Ref: 23.0%; LD: 21.0%; Lab: 13.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; LD: 26.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 12.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 4802 (8.89%)
Turnout: 67.95%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Paul Holmes	Conservative and Unionist Party	19671
Prad Bains	Liberal Democrats	14869
Devina Marylyn Paul	Labour Party	8753
Caroline Anne Gladwin	Reform UK	8216
Kate Needham	Green Party	2310
Binka Griffin	Hampshire Independents	185

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 23488 (41.17%)
Turnout: 74.2%

Party	Votes
Conservative	35497
Liberal Democrats	12009
Labour	7739
Green	1796