Harpenden and Berkhamsted
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Victoria Collins
Party: Liberal Democrats
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 52%; Cons: 30% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 34%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 20%; Lab: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 49%; Cons: 31%; Ref: 11% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 29%; LD: 27%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 35%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 19%; Lab: 10% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 49%; Cons: 19%; Ref: 18% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 44%; Cons: 24%; Ref: 19% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 43%; Cons: 30%; Ref: 12%; Lab: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 41%; Cons: 23%; Ref: 18%; Lab: 11% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 51%; Cons: 21%; Ref: 16% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 37%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 17%; Lab: 11% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 37%; Cons: 33%; Ref: 13%; Lab: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 34%; Cons: 28%; Ref: 16%; Lab: 14% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 46%; Cons: 30%; Ref: 12% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe LD | Victory chances: LD: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 10708 (19.70%)
Turnout: 75.21%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Collins | Liberal Democrats | 27282 | 50.2% |
| Nigel Robert Gardner | Conservative and Unionist Party | 16574 | 30.5% |
| Saba Poursaeedi | Reform UK | 4245 | 7.8% |
| Zara Layne | Labour Party | 4061 | 7.5% |
| Paul Gregory De Hoest | Green Party | 1951 | 3.6% |
| Mark Thomas Patten | Social Democratic Party | 223 | 0.4% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 15044 (26.99%)
Turnout: 77.8%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 29136 | 52.3% |
| Liberal Democrats | 14092 | 25.3% |
| Labour | 5908 | 10.6% |
| Other | 5695 | 10.2% |
| Green | 907 | 1.6% |