Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Hertsmere

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Oliver Dowden
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 42.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 16.0%
Focaldata: Focaldata Jan 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 43.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common: More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 7992 (16.64%)

Candidate	Party	Votes
Oliver Dowden	Conservative and Unionist Party	21451
Josh Tapper	Labour Party	13459
Darren Bruce Selkus	Reform UK	6584
Emma Matanle	Liberal Democrats	3710
John Humphries	Green Party	2267
Ray Bolster	Independent	536

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 22980 (43.76%)
Turnout: 71.7%