Hornchurch and Upminster
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Julia Lopez
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 49.0%; Cons: 35.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 47.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 14.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 49.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 10.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 15.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Lab: 13.0%; LD: 13.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 45.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 17.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 44.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 16.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 20.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Lab: 17.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 21.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 33.0%; Lab: 14.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; Ref: 32.0%; Lab: 23.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 99.8% |
2024 results
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 1943 (4.14%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lopez | Conservative and Unionist Party | 15260 | 32.5% |
| Nicholas Palmer | Reform UK | 13317 | 28.4% |
| Sunny Brar | Labour Party | 12939 | 27.6% |
| Melanie Collins | Green Party | 2620 | 5.6% |
| Ian Sanderson | Liberal Democrats | 2381 | 5.1% |
| David Warren Durant | Independent | 394 | 0.8% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 21735 (42.57%)
Turnout: 66.4%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 33404 | 65.4% |
| Labour | 11669 | 22.9% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3634 | 7.1% |
| Green | 1836 | 3.6% |
| Other | 510 | 1.0% |