Leyton and Wanstead
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Calvin Bailey
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Green | Vote shares: Green: 32%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 13%; Other: 12%; Cons: 10% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Green | Vote shares: Green: 32%; Lab: 29%; Ref: 12%; Cons: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Green | Vote shares: Green: 31%; Lab: 24%; Ref: 19%; Cons: 10% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Green: 27%; Ref: 14%; Cons: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Green: 21%; Ref: 15%; Cons: 11%; Other: 10% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 34%; Green: 21%; Ref: 16%; Cons: 10%; Other: 10% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 38%; Green: 20%; Ref: 13%; Cons: 11%; LD: 10% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 37%; Green: 18%; Cons: 14%; Other: 12%; Ref: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Green: 21%; Ref: 20%; LD: 11%; Other: 11% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Likely Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 37%; Green: 19%; Ref: 15%; Cons: 11%; LD: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Likely Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 36%; Green: 19%; Cons: 13%; Ref: 12%; Other: 11% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Likely Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 41%; Cons: 19%; Green: 17% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Likely Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 37%; Green: 19%; Cons: 14%; Ref: 13%; Other: 11% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Safe Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 47%; Green: 16%; Cons: 12%; Other: 10% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 13964 (31.93%)
Turnout: 61.17%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Bailey | Labour Party | 20755 | 47.5% |
| Charlotte Lafferty | Green Party | 6791 | 15.5% |
| Gloria Croxall | Conservative and Unionist Party | 4846 | 11.1% |
| Shanell Johnson | Independent | 4173 | 9.5% |
| Tara Michelle-Louise Copeland | Liberal Democrats | 2815 | 6.4% |
| David Kenton Sandground | Reform UK | 2475 | 5.7% |
| Mahtab Anwar Aziz | Workers Party of Britain | 1633 | 3.7% |
| Simon Mark Bezer | Rejoin EU | 244 | 0.6% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 21121 (43.22%)
Turnout: 68.5%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 30823 | 63.1% |
| Conservative | 9702 | 19.9% |
| Liberal Democrats | 5209 | 10.7% |
| Green | 1868 | 3.8% |
| Reform UK | 836 | 1.7% |
| Other | 427 | 0.9% |