Louth and Horncastle
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Victoria Atkins
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 46.0%; Cons: 38.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Cons: 29.0%; Lab: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 51.0%; Cons: 31.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Lab: 12.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 45.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 12.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 43.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 14.0%; LD: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 47.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 13.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Lab: 13.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 43.0%; Cons: 29.0%; Lab: 12.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 33.0%; Lab: 17.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Lab: 12.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 37.0%; Ref: 34.0%; Lab: 16.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 100.0% |
2024 results
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5506 (11.84%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Atkins | Conservative and Unionist Party | 17441 | 37.5% |
| Sean Matthews | Reform UK | 11935 | 25.7% |
| Jonathan Slater | Labour Party | 10475 | 22.5% |
| Robert William Watson | Green Party | 2504 | 5.4% |
| Ross David Pepper | Liberal Democrats | 2364 | 5.1% |
| Paul Hugill | Independent | 1359 | 2.9% |
| Iconic Arty-Pole | The Official Monster Raving Loony Party | 309 | 0.7% |
| Marcus Moorehouse | Social Democratic Party | 92 | 0.2% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 27883 (54.74%)
Turnout: 67.1%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 36903 | 72.5% |
| Labour | 9020 | 17.7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3966 | 7.8% |
| Other | 1044 | 2.0% |