Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Mid Buckinghamshire

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Greg Smith
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 25.0%; LD: 23.0%; Lab: 12.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 15.0%; LD: 13.0%; Green: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; Ref: 32.0%; LD: 15.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; LD: 27.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 24.0%; LD: 23.0%; Lab: 14.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; LD: 28.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Lab: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 29.0%; Ref: 27.0%; LD: 22.0%; Lab: 13.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; LD: 25.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 24.0%; LD: 22.0%; Lab: 14.0%
More in Common April 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39.0%; LD: 20.0%; Lab: 16.0%; Ref: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Likely Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37.0%; LD: 20.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 13.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; LD: 27.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Lab: 12.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5872 (10.88%)
Turnout: 71.34%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Greg Smith	Conservative and Unionist Party	20150	37.3%
Anja Schaefer	Liberal Democrats	14278	26.5%
Carissma Griffiths	Labour Party	9171	17.0%
Steph Harwood	Reform UK	6926	12.8%
Greg Smith	Green Party	2942	5.5%
Yvonne Dorette Wilding	Social Democratic Party	337	0.6%
Wisdom Methodious Da Costa	Climate Party	147	0.3%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 22648 (41.76%)
Turnout: 75.1%