Middlesbrough and Thornaby East
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Andy McDonald
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 45.0%; Lab: 16.0%; Cons: 15.0%; Green: 14.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Lab: 19.0%; Cons: 17.0%; LD: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 49.0%; Lab: 35.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Cons: 12.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Lab: 30.0%; Cons: 14.0%; LD: 11.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 49.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Cons: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 43.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 14.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 33.0%; Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 14.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Cons: 19.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 33.0%; Ref: 32.0%; Cons: 14.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Cons: 16.0%; Other: 12.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 42.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 16.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Lean Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 74.8%; Ref: 25.2% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 9192 (26.71%)
Turnout: 45.80%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andy McDonald | Labour Party | 16238 | 47.2% |
| Patrick John Miles Seargeant | Reform UK | 7046 | 20.5% |
| Kiran Fothergill | Conservative and Unionist Party | 6174 | 17.9% |
| Mehmoona Mirsab Ameen | Workers Party of Britain | 2007 | 5.8% |
| Matthew Harris | Green Party | 1522 | 4.4% |
| Mo Waqas | Liberal Democrats | 1037 | 3.0% |
| Mark Alan Baxtrem | Independent | 383 | 1.1% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 11141 (29.63%)
Turnout: 52.4%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 20290 | 54.0% |
| Conservative | 9149 | 24.3% |
| Other | 4282 | 11.4% |
| Reform UK | 2324 | 6.2% |
| Liberal Democrats | 991 | 2.6% |
| Green | 553 | 1.5% |