Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Middlesbrough and Thornaby East

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Andy McDonald
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 49.0%; Lab: 35.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Cons: 12.0%; Green: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Lab: 30.0%; Cons: 14.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 49.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Cons: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 43.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 14.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33.0%; Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 14.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Cons: 19.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33.0%; Ref: 32.0%; Cons: 14.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Cons: 16.0%; Other: 12.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 42.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 16.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Lean Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 74.8%; Ref: 25.2%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 9192 (26.71%)
Turnout: 45.80%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Andy McDonald	Labour Party	16238
Patrick John Miles Seargeant	Reform UK	7046
Kiran Fothergill	Conservative and Unionist Party	6174
Mehmoona Mirsab Ameen	Workers Party of Britain	2007
Matthew Harris	Green Party	1522
Mo Waqas	Liberal Democrats	1037
Mark Alan Baxtrem	Independent	383

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 11141 (29.63%)
Turnout: 52.4%