Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Orpington

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Gareth Bacon
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 38.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 16.0%; LD: 10.0%
Focaldata: Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 37.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 23.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common: More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 5118 (11.10%)

Candidate	Party	Votes
Gareth Bacon	Conservative and Unionist Party	17504
Ju Owens	Labour Party	12386
Mark Bradley James	Reform UK	8896
Graeme Casey	Liberal Democrats	4728
Seamus McCauley	Green Party	2319
John Hunter Bright	Social Democratic Party	240

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 20627 (42.13%)
Turnout: 68.4%