Penrith and Solway

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Markus Campbell-Savours
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Lab: 21.0%; Cons: 19.0%; LD: 12.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 17.0%; LD: 14.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 21.0%; LD: 12.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 23.0%; LD: 10.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 21.0%; LD: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Lab: 25.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 22.0%; LD: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 25.0%; LD: 11.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 22.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 5257 (10.66%)
Turnout: 63.23%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Markus Campbell-Savours	Labour Party	19986
Mark Jenkinson	Conservative and Unionist Party	14729
Matthew Moody	Reform UK	7624
Julia Aglionby	Liberal Democrats	4742
Susan Denham-Smith	Green Party	1730
Chris Johnston	Independent	195
Shaun Long	Social Democratic Party	156
Roy Ivinson	Independent	119

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 13760 (24.66%)
Turnout: 72.7%

Party	Votes
Conservative	30576
Labour	16816
Liberal Democrats	4556
Green	1733
Other	1097
Reform UK	1000