Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Romsey and Southampton North

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Caroline Nokes
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 27.0%; LD: 26.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 20.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; LD: 30.0%; Ref: 25.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; LD: 31.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; LD: 25.0%; Ref: 25.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 34.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Ref: 19.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; LD: 25.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 34.0%; LD: 31.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 35.0%; LD: 29.0%; Ref: 19.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 36.0%; LD: 33.0%; Ref: 18.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 2191 (4.37%)
Turnout: 69.61%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Caroline Nokes	Conservative and Unionist Party	19893
Geoff Cooper	Liberal Democrats	17702
Paul Barrett	Reform UK	5716
Christie Lambert	Labour Party	4640
Connor Edward Shaw	Green Party	1893
Fennie Yap	Independent	183

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 16251 (29.70%)
Turnout: 74.1%