Note: some data is purely for testing

Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Runcorn and Helsby

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Sarah Joanne Pochin
Party: Reform UK
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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Representation history

(In reverse chronological order, as far as the 2024 general election.)

NameDateDescriptionParty
Sarah Joanne PochinMay 1, 2025By-electionReform UK
(None)Mar 17, 2025Resignation.(n/a)
Mike AmesburyOct 27, 2024Suspended.Independent
Mike AmesburyJul 4, 20242024 election.Labour

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

ProjectionProjected resultDescription
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Lab: 43.0%; Ref: 43.0%
YouGov September 2025Toss-up LabVote shares: Lab: 31.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Green: 13.0%; Cons: 10.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Lab: 32.0%; Cons: 12.0%
More in Common July 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 31.0%; Cons: 15.0%; LD: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Lab: 33.0%; Cons: 15.0%
YouGov June 2025Toss-up LabVote shares: Lab: 37.0%; Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 12.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025Toss-up LabVote shares: Lab: 35.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 17.0%
More in Common April 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Cons: 18.0%; LD: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025Toss-up LabVote shares: Lab: 32.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 15.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025Lean LabVote shares: Lab: 41.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 15.0%
More in Common Dec 2024Safe LabVictory chances: Lab: 100.0%

By-election 2025-05-01

Winning party: Reform UK
Majority: 6 (0.01%)

CandidatePartyVotes
Sarah Joanne PochinReform UK12645
Karen Louise ShoreLabour Party12639
Sean HoulstonConservative and Unionist Party2341
Chris CopemanGreen Party2314
Paul Michael DuffyLiberal Democrats942
Dan ClarkeThe Liberal Party454
Michael WilliamsIndependent363
Alan McKieIndependent269
Peter FordWorkers Party of Britain164
John StevensRejoin EU129
Howling Laud HopeThe Official Monster Raving Loony Party128
Catherine BlaiklockEnglish Democrats95
Paul Andrew MurphySocial Democratic Party68
Jason Philip HughesVolt United Kingdom54
Graham Harry MooreEnglish Constitution Party50

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 14696 (34.79%)
Turnout: 59.65%

CandidatePartyVotes
Mike AmesburyLabour Party22358
Jason MoorcroftReform UK7662
Jade MarsdenConservative and Unionist Party6756
Chris CopemanGreen Party2715
Chris RoweLiberal Democrats2149
Dan ClarkeThe Liberal Party479
Paul Andrew MurphySocial Democratic Party116

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 5779 (11.93%)
Turnout: 68.2%

PartyVotes
Labour23617
Conservative17838
Liberal Democrats3247
Reform UK2302
Green1414