Scunthorpe
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Nicholas Dakin
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 21%; Lab: 20%; Green: 14% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 16% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 18% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 17% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 48%; Cons: 18%; Lab: 17% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Lab: 22%; Cons: 18% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 43%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 21% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 46%; Lab: 19%; Cons: 18%; LD: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 41%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 21% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 21% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 21% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 41%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 21% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 22% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Lab: 30%; Cons: 28% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Lean Ref | Victory chances: Ref: 57%; Cons: 43% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 3542 (9.07%)
Turnout: 52.88%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dakin | Labour Party | 15484 | 39.7% |
| Holly Mumby-Croft | Conservative and Unionist Party | 11942 | 30.6% |
| Darren Haley | Reform UK | 8163 | 20.9% |
| Nick Cox | Green Party | 1218 | 3.1% |
| Dr Abdul R Butt | Independent | 1202 | 3.1% |
| Cahal Burke | Liberal Democrats | 942 | 2.4% |
| Scott Curtis | Heritage Party | 100 | 0.3% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 10133 (21.44%)
Turnout: 63.6%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 26616 | 56.3% |
| Labour | 16483 | 34.9% |
| Reform UK | 2044 | 4.3% |
| Liberal Democrats | 1249 | 2.6% |
| Green | 866 | 1.8% |