Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Scunthorpe

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Nicholas Dakin
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Safe Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 48.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Lab: 17.0%
YouGov September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Cons: 18.0%
More in Common September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 43.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 21.0%
More in Common July 2025	Safe Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 46.0%; Lab: 19.0%; Cons: 18.0%; LD: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 41.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 21.0%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Cons: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 21.0%
More in Common April 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 41.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Lab: 22.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Lab: 30.0%; Cons: 28.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Lean Ref	Victory chances: Ref: 56.8%; Cons: 43.2%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 3542 (9.07%)
Turnout: 52.88%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Nicholas Dakin	Labour Party	15484
Holly Mumby-Croft	Conservative and Unionist Party	11942
Darren Haley	Reform UK	8163
Nick Cox	Green Party	1218
Dr Abdul R Butt	Independent	1202
Cahal Burke	Liberal Democrats	942
Scott Curtis	Heritage Party	100

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 10133 (21.44%)
Turnout: 63.6%