South Basildon and East Thurrock
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: James McMurdock
Party: Independent
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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Representation history
(In reverse chronological order, as far as the 2024 general election.)
| Name | Date | Description | Party |
|---|---|---|---|
| James McMurdock | Jul 5, 2025 | Whip withdrawn. | Independent |
| James McMurdock | Jul 4, 2024 | 2024 election. | Reform UK |
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 12%; Other: 11% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 44%; Cons: 21%; Lab: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 50%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 11% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 53%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 53%; Cons: 16%; Lab: 13% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 45%; Lab: 18%; Cons: 17% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 46%; Cons: 20%; Lab: 14%; LD: 11% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 49%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 15% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 48%; Cons: 19%; Lab: 16% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Safe Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 44%; Lab: 19%; Cons: 17% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 41%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 17% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 20% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 15% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 24% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Ref | Victory chances: Ref: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Reform UK
Majority: 98 (0.24%)
Turnout: 54.42%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| James McMurdock | Reform UK | 12178 | 30.8% |
| Jack Ferguson | Labour Party | 12080 | 30.5% |
| Stephen Metcalfe | Conservative and Unionist Party | 10159 | 25.7% |
| Neil Speight | Independent | 1928 | 4.9% |
| Elizabeth Grant | Green Party | 1718 | 4.3% |
| Dave Thomas | Liberal Democrats | 1071 | 2.7% |
| Steven Robert Burnett | Independent | 275 | 0.7% |
| Simon John Breedon | Social Democratic Party | 140 | 0.4% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 18731 (41.87%)
Turnout: 61%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 29271 | 65.4% |
| Labour | 10540 | 23.6% |
| Other | 3014 | 6.7% |
| Liberal Democrats | 1836 | 4.1% |
| Green | 68 | 0.2% |