South Derbyshire
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Samantha Niblett
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 21.0%; Green: 11.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 17.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Lab: 18.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Cons: 19.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 11.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 21.0%; LD: 15.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Cons: 21.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 21.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 22.0%; LD: 11.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 22.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 31.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 26.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 99.2% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 4168 (9.11%)
Turnout: 62.05%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Niblett | Labour Party | 17734 | 38.8% |
| Heather Wheeler | Conservative and Unionist Party | 13566 | 29.7% |
| Job West | Reform UK | 8979 | 19.6% |
| Lucy Care | Liberal Democrats | 2134 | 4.7% |
| Aruhan Galieva | Green Party | 1941 | 4.2% |
| Amy Wheelton | Independent | 1200 | 2.6% |
| Paul Liversuch | Socialist Labour Party | 183 | 0.4% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 16483 (34.92%)
Turnout: 66.3%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 29319 | 62.1% |
| Labour | 12836 | 27.2% |
| Liberal Democrats | 3465 | 7.3% |
| Green | 1579 | 3.3% |