Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

South Holland and The Deepings

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: John Hayes
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 52.0%; Cons: 30.0%
YouGov September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 43.0%; Cons: 28.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 24.0%; LD: 13.0%; Lab: 11.0%; Other: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 46.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 11.0%; Other: 10.0%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Lab: 14.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 42.0%; Cons: 29.0%; Lab: 11.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Cons: 31.0%; Other: 12.0%; Lab: 10.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 39.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Lab: 16.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 6856 (14.92%)
Turnout: 58.53%

Candidate	Party	Votes
John Hayes	Conservative and Unionist Party	17462
Matt Swainson	Reform UK	10606
Paul Hilliar	Labour Party	9086
Mark Edward Le Sage	Independent	5031
Jack Braginton	Liberal Democrats	1945
Rhys Rhobat Baker	Green Party	1800

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 30838 (62.70%)
Turnout: 64.6%