Southampton Itchen

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Darren Paffey
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 47.0%; Lab: 37.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Green: 13.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 21.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 43.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Lab: 18.0%; Green: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Cons: 16.0%; Green: 10.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Green: 11.0%; LD: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Green: 10.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 24.0%; LD: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Green: 10.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 30.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 25.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 91.2%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6105 (16.04%)
Turnout: 55.65%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Darren Paffey	Labour Party	15782
Sidney Yankson	Conservative and Unionist Party	9677
Alexander Conrad Culley	Reform UK	6853
Neil McKinnon Lyon Kelly	Green Party	2793
James Edward Batho	Liberal Democrats	2684
Declan Peter Clune	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	264

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 4498 (9.48%)
Turnout: 65.7%

Party	Votes
Conservative	23952
Labour	19454
Liberal Democrats	2503
Green	1040
Other	472