Stoke-on-Trent South
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Allison Gardner
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 36%; Ref: 33%; Lab: 11%; Other: 11% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 17% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 43%; Cons: 32%; Lab: 10% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 41%; Cons: 27%; Lab: 18% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 44%; Cons: 24%; Lab: 15% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Lab: 21%; Cons: 20% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 44%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 18%; LD: 10% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 42%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 19%; LD: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 40%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 20% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Lean Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 22% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Cons: 30%; Lab: 21% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 29%; Lab: 23% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 34%; Ref: 29%; Lab: 19% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Cons: 32%; Ref: 32%; Lab: 26% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 627 (1.53%)
Turnout: 58.49%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Gardner | Labour Party | 14221 | 34.7% |
| Jack Brereton | Conservative and Unionist Party | 13594 | 33.2% |
| Michael Bailey | Reform UK | 8851 | 21.6% |
| Alec Sandiford | Liberal Democrats | 1577 | 3.9% |
| Asif Mehmood | Independent | 1372 | 3.4% |
| Peggy Wiseman | Green Party | 1207 | 2.9% |
| Carla Parrish | Independent | 120 | 0.3% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 15393 (32.90%)
Turnout: 67%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 29255 | 62.5% |
| Labour | 13862 | 29.6% |
| Liberal Democrats | 2916 | 6.2% |
| Green | 749 | 1.6% |