Surrey Heath
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Al Pinkerton
Party: Liberal Democrats
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 33%; LD: 31%; Ref: 18% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 32%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 30%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 24% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 28%; LD: 28%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 35%; Ref: 33%; Cons: 19% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 41%; Cons: 23%; Ref: 23% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 37%; Cons: 25%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 10% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 32%; Ref: 26%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 30%; Cons: 28%; Ref: 27% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 40%; Cons: 23%; Ref: 23% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 32%; LD: 30%; Ref: 22% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 35%; Cons: 32%; Lab: 14%; Ref: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 34%; Cons: 31%; Ref: 21% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up LD | Vote shares: LD: 38%; Cons: 32%; Ref: 20% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 99% |
2024 results
Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 5640 (11.80%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Pinkerton | Liberal Democrats | 21387 | 44.8% |
| Ed McGuinness | Conservative and Unionist Party | 15747 | 33.0% |
| Sam Goggin | Reform UK | 6252 | 13.1% |
| Jessica Naomi Patsy Hammersley-Rich | Labour Party | 3148 | 6.6% |
| Jon Campbell | Green Party | 1162 | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth de Stanford Wallitt | Heritage Party | 92 | 0.2% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 15552 (29.83%)
Turnout: 73.6%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 30161 | 57.9% |
| Liberal Democrats | 14609 | 28.0% |
| Labour | 4888 | 9.4% |
| Green | 1845 | 3.5% |
| Other | 628 | 1.2% |