Tatton
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Esther McVey
Party: Conservative
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 32.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 23.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Green: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Cons: 26.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 12.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Lab: 22.0%; LD: 14.0%; Green: 10.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 33.0%; Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 19.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Lab: 26.0%; Ref: 19.0%; LD: 15.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 24.0%; LD: 11.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 30.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Ref: 23.0%; LD: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Lean Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Ref: 24.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Lean Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 38.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Ref: 24.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Ref: 23.0%; LD: 11.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Lean Cons | Vote shares: Cons: 38.0%; Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 18.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Cons | Victory chances: Cons: 100.0% |
2024 results
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 1136 (2.18%)
Turnout: 69.92%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esther McVey | Conservative and Unionist Party | 19956 | 38.4% |
| Ryan Jude | Labour Party | 18820 | 36.3% |
| Oliver George Speakman | Reform UK | 5948 | 11.5% |
| Jonathan Smith | Liberal Democrats | 4614 | 8.9% |
| Nigel Hennerley | Green Party | 2571 | 5.0% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 19281 (34.80%)
Turnout: 73.3%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 31732 | 57.3% |
| Labour | 12451 | 22.5% |
| Liberal Democrats | 8966 | 16.2% |
| Green | 2046 | 3.7% |
| Reform UK | 199 | 0.4% |