Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

York Outer

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Luke Charters
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Ref: 23.0%; LD: 13.0%; Green: 10.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Lab: 24.0%; LD: 11.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 45.0%; Ref: 40.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28.0%; Ref: 27.0%; LD: 16.0%; Cons: 15.0%; Green: 11.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 21.0%; LD: 13.0%; Green: 10.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Cons: 24.0%; LD: 21.0%; Ref: 19.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33.0%; Ref: 30.0%; Cons: 18.0%; LD: 11.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 20.0%; LD: 15.0%; Green: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 30.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 24.0%; LD: 12.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Ref: 23.0%; LD: 14.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Cons: 21.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33.0%; Cons: 27.0%; Ref: 22.0%; LD: 12.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 9391 (18.37%)
Turnout: 67.04%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Luke Charters	Labour Party	23161	45.3%
Julian Sturdy	Conservative and Unionist Party	13770	26.9%
John Edward Crispin-Bailey	Reform UK	5912	11.6%
Andrew Hollyer	Liberal Democrats	5496	10.8%
Michael Robin Kearney	Green Party	2212	4.3%
David James Eadington	Yorkshire Party	260	0.5%
Keith Andrew Hayden	Independent	141	0.3%
Hal Aenas Mayne	Independent	88	0.2%
Darren Borrows	Independent	66	0.1%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 10782 (19.69%)
Turnout: 75.3%