Orkney and Shetland
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Alistair Carmichael
Party: Liberal Democrats
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 55%; SNP: 18%; Green: 13%; Ref: 10% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 59% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 56%; SNP: 18%; Ref: 13%; Green: 11% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 56%; Ref: 18%; SNP: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 52%; SNP: 18%; Ref: 16%; Green: 10% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 49%; Ref: 16%; SNP: 13%; Green: 11% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean LD | Vote shares: LD: 41%; Ref: 31%; SNP: 14% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Likely LD | Vote shares: LD: 38%; SNP: 19%; Ref: 17%; Other: 13% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 55%; SNP: 18%; Ref: 12%; Green: 11% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 49%; Ref: 16%; SNP: 15% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 55%; SNP: 18%; Ref: 12%; Green: 10% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 53%; Ref: 16%; SNP: 12%; Lab: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 53%; SNP: 19%; Ref: 12%; Green: 11% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Safe LD | Vote shares: LD: 47%; SNP: 17%; Ref: 13%; Green: 12% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe LD | Victory chances: LD: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 7807 (37.73%)
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alistair Carmichael | Liberal Democrats | 11392 | 55.1% |
| Robert Fraser Leslie | Scottish National Party (SNP) | 3585 | 17.3% |
| Alex Armitage | Scottish Green Party | 2046 | 9.9% |
| Robert Smith | Reform UK | 1586 | 7.7% |
| Conor Savage | Labour Party | 1493 | 7.2% |
| Shane Painter | Conservative and Unionist Party | 586 | 2.8% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 2507 (10.82%)
Turnout: 66.5%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 10381 | 44.8% |
| Scottish National | 7874 | 34.0% |
| Conservative | 2287 | 9.9% |
| Labour | 1550 | 6.7% |
| Reform UK | 900 | 3.9% |
| Other | 168 | 0.7% |