Note: some data is purely for testing

Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Arbroath and Broughty Ferry

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Lara Bird
Party: Scottish National
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Representation history

(In reverse chronological order, as far as the 2024 general election.)

NameDateDescriptionParty
Lara BirdJun 18, 2026By-electionScottish National
(None)May 14, 2026Resigned as MP.(n/a)
Stephen GethinsJul 4, 20242024 election.Scottish National

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

ProjectionProjected resultDescription
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 37%; Cons: 16%; Ref: 15%; Lab: 12%
More in Common April 2026Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 34%; Ref: 29%; Cons: 13%; Lab: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 45%; Ref: 29%
More in Common January 2026Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 36%; SNP: 34%; Cons: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 50%; Ref: 35%
YouGov September 2025Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 29%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 18%; LD: 11%; Cons: 10%
More in Common September 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 31%; SNP: 29%; Lab: 16%; Cons: 11%
More in Common July 2025Safe SNPVote shares: SNP: 47%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 18%; Cons: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 37%; Lab: 22%; Ref: 16%; Cons: 14%
YouGov June 2025Lean SNPVote shares: SNP: 32%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 37%; Lab: 21%; Ref: 17%; Cons: 14%
More in Common April 2025Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 32%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 15%; Lab: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 38%; Lab: 21%; Ref: 16%; Cons: 13%
Focaldata Jan 2025Likely SNPVote shares: SNP: 37%; Cons: 19%; Lab: 19%; Ref: 14%
More in Common Dec 2024Safe SNPVictory chances: SNP: 100%

By-election 2026-06-18

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 4961 (20.44%)

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Lara BirdScottish National Party (SNP)980240.4%
Bill ReidReform UK484119.9%
Jack CruickshanksConservative and Unionist Party452418.6%
Heather DoranLabour Party365115.0%
Tanvir AhmadLiberal Democrats14526.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 859 (1.94%)
Turnout: 57.94%

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Stephen GethinsScottish National Party (SNP)1558135.3%
Cheryl-Ann CruickshankLabour Party1472233.4%
Richard John BrooksConservative and Unionist Party684115.5%
Gwen WoodReform UK38008.6%
David Ronald EvansLiberal Democrats22495.1%
Ghazi KhanAlba Party6931.6%
Moira Macpherson BrownSovereignty2310.5%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 10777 (20.67%)
Turnout: 67.9%

PartyVotesShare
Scottish National2655050.9%
Conservative1577330.3%
Labour532110.2%
Liberal Democrats41688.0%
Other3120.6%