Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Argyll, Bute and South Lochaber

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Brendan O'Hara
Party: Scottish Nationalist
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 41.0%; Ref: 28.0%; Cons: 11.0%; LD: 10.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34.0%; Ref: 20.0%; LD: 17.0%; Cons: 13.0%; Lab: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 36.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Cons: 14.0%; Lab: 12.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 41.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Cons: 18.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 36.0%; Cons: 19.0%; LD: 17.0%; Ref: 14.0%
YouGov June 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32.0%; Ref: 21.0%; LD: 16.0%; Cons: 14.0%; Lab: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 37.0%; Cons: 19.0%; LD: 16.0%; Ref: 14.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Cons: 18.0%; LD: 13.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Likely SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 38.0%; Cons: 19.0%; LD: 14.0%; Ref: 13.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33.0%; Cons: 24.0%; Ref: 16.0%; LD: 15.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe SNP	Victory chances: SNP: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Scottish Nationalist
Majority: 6232 (13.89%)
Turnout: 62.52%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Brendan O'Hara	Scottish National Party (SNP)	15582
Amanda Hampsey	Conservative and Unionist Party	9350
Hamish Maxwell	Labour Party	8585
Alan Reid	Liberal Democrats	7359
Melanie Hurst	Reform UK	3045
Tommy Macpherson	Independent	941

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish Nationalist
Majority: 4897 (9.65%)
Turnout: 70.7%