Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Edinburgh South West

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Scott Arthur
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 28.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Green: 10.0%
More in Common January 2026	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Lab: 16.0%; LD: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 28.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 21.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 31.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Ref: 14.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 22.0%; SNP: 22.0%; LD: 14.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28.0%; SNP: 20.0%; Cons: 19.0%; Ref: 14.0%; LD: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; SNP: 29.0%; Ref: 13.0%; Cons: 11.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27.0%; SNP: 22.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Green: 13.0%; Cons: 11.0%; LD: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 29.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Ref: 13.0%; Cons: 10.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 23.0%; Lab: 21.0%; Ref: 20.0%; LD: 12.0%; Cons: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 12.0%; Cons: 10.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28.0%; SNP: 24.0%; Cons: 16.0%; Ref: 12.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 99.6%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6217 (13.61%)
Turnout: 61.89%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Scott Arthur	Labour Party	18663	40.9%
Joanna Cherry	Scottish National Party (SNP)	12446	27.3%
Sue Webber	Conservative and Unionist Party	5558	12.2%
Dan Heap	Scottish Green Party	3450	7.6%
Bruce Wilson	Liberal Democrats	3014	6.6%
Ian Harper	Reform UK	2087	4.6%
Richard Crewe Lucas	Scottish Family Party	265	0.6%
Marc Wilkinson	Independent	181	0.4%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 11982 (22.98%)
Turnout: 71.1%