Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Graham Leadbitter
Party: Scottish National
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 40.0%; Cons: 37.0%; Ref: 10.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; SNP: 27.0%; Cons: 22.0%; LD: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33.0%; Cons: 25.0%; Ref: 23.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 25.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Lab: 11.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Cons: 19.0%; SNP: 18.0%; Lab: 14.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 41.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Cons: 13.0%; Lab: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 14.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 26.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Lab: 12.0%; LD: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 34.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 15.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Other: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 35.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Ref: 14.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 33.0%; SNP: 29.0%; Ref: 16.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe SNP	Victory chances: SNP: 99.2%

2024 results

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 1001 (2.15%)

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Graham Leadbitter	Scottish National Party (SNP)	14961	32.1%
Kathleen Robertson	Conservative and Unionist Party	13960	30.0%
James Hynam	Labour Party	8259	17.7%
Neil Alexander	Liberal Democrats	3785	8.1%
Steve Skerrett	Reform UK	3490	7.5%
Draeyk van der Horn	Scottish Green Party	1676	3.6%
Euan Morrice	Scottish Family Party	423	0.9%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 2906 (5.16%)
Turnout: 73.8%