Paisley and Renfrewshire South
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Johanna Baxter
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 32.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 24.0% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Likely SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 42.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Lab: 17.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 33.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 25.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 32.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 21.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Lean SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 35.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Ref: 16.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 40.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 13.0%; LD: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 35.0%; SNP: 34.0%; Ref: 15.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 21.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 34.0%; SNP: 34.0%; Ref: 16.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Ref: 12.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 35.0%; Lab: 33.0%; Ref: 14.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Lean Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 36.0%; SNP: 27.0%; Ref: 15.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Lean SNP | Victory chances: SNP: 52.6%; Cons: 40.8% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6527 (15.81%)
Turnout: 57.68%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Johanna Baxter | Labour Party | 19583 | 47.4% |
| Jacqueline Cameron | Scottish National Party (SNP) | 13056 | 31.6% |
| Jim McIlroy | Reform UK | 2956 | 7.2% |
| Alec Leishman | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2219 | 5.4% |
| Athol Bond | Scottish Green Party | 1724 | 4.2% |
| Jack Clark | Liberal Democrats | 1315 | 3.2% |
| Paul Mack | Independent | 317 | 0.8% |
| Mark Turnbull | Freedom Alliance | 113 | 0.3% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 11023 (23.92%)
Turnout: 66%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Scottish National | 22933 | 49.8% |
| Labour | 11910 | 25.8% |
| Conservative | 8366 | 18.2% |
| Liberal Democrats | 2869 | 6.2% |