Paisley and Renfrewshire South

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Johanna Baxter
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 33.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 25.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 32.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 21.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 35.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Ref: 16.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 40.0%; Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 13.0%; LD: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35.0%; SNP: 34.0%; Ref: 15.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34.0%; SNP: 34.0%; Ref: 16.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Ref: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 35.0%; Lab: 33.0%; Ref: 14.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 36.0%; SNP: 27.0%; Ref: 15.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Lean SNP	Victory chances: SNP: 52.6%; Cons: 40.8%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6527 (15.81%)
Turnout: 57.68%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Johanna Baxter	Labour Party	19583
Jacqueline Cameron	Scottish National Party (SNP)	13056
Jim McIlroy	Reform UK	2956
Alec Leishman	Conservative and Unionist Party	2219
Athol Bond	Scottish Green Party	1724
Jack Clark	Liberal Democrats	1315
Paul Mack	Independent	317
Mark Turnbull	Freedom Alliance	113

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish Nationalist
Majority: 11023 (23.92%)
Turnout: 66%

Party	Votes
Scottish Nationalist	22933
Labour	11910
Conservative	8366
Liberal Democrats	2869