Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Elaine Stewart
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 40.0%; Ref: 37.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; Lab: 22.0%; SNP: 22.0%; Cons: 12.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Cons: 16.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33.0%; SNP: 28.0%; Cons: 16.0%; Ref: 14.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 28.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Ref: 16.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 22.0%; SNP: 21.0%; Cons: 15.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 28.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Ref: 17.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 30.0%; Cons: 23.0%; SNP: 22.0%; Ref: 13.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 29.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Ref: 16.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up SNP	Vote shares: SNP: 28.0%; Cons: 23.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Ref: 17.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Lean SNP	Victory chances: SNP: 64.2%; Cons: 32.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 4154 (10.14%)
Turnout: 58.20%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Elaine Stewart	Labour Party	14930
Allan Dorans	Scottish National Party (SNP)	10776
Martin Dowey	Conservative and Unionist Party	9247
Andrew Russell	Reform UK	3544
Paul Kennedy	Liberal Democrats	1081
Korin Matthew Vallance	Scottish Green Party	886
Corri Wilson	Alba Party	472

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish Nationalist
Majority: 2329 (4.99%)
Turnout: 64.7%

Party	Votes
Scottish Nationalist	20272
Conservative	17943
Labour	6219
Liberal Democrats	2158