Note: some data is purely for testing

Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Elaine Stewart
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

ProjectionProjected resultDescription
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 32%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 13%; Green: 12%; Lab: 10%
More in Common April 2026Toss-up LabVote shares: Lab: 21%; SNP: 21%; Cons: 20%; Ref: 20%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 27%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 20%; Lab: 17%
More in Common January 2026Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 32%; Ref: 25%; Cons: 20%; Lab: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 40%; Ref: 37%
YouGov September 2025Lean RefVote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 22%; SNP: 22%; Cons: 12%
More in Common September 2025Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 30%; Ref: 24%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 16%
More in Common July 2025Toss-up LabVote shares: Lab: 33%; SNP: 28%; Cons: 16%; Ref: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 28%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 21%; Ref: 16%
YouGov June 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 22%; SNP: 21%; Cons: 15%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 28%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 21%; Ref: 17%
More in Common April 2025Toss-up LabVote shares: Lab: 30%; Cons: 23%; SNP: 22%; Ref: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 29%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 20%; Ref: 16%
Focaldata Jan 2025Toss-up SNPVote shares: SNP: 28%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 23%; Ref: 17%
More in Common Dec 2024Lean SNPVictory chances: SNP: 64%; Cons: 32%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 4154 (10.14%)
Turnout: 58.20%

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Elaine StewartLabour Party1493036.5%
Allan DoransScottish National Party (SNP)1077626.3%
Martin DoweyConservative and Unionist Party924722.6%
Andrew Fleming RussellReform UK35448.7%
Paul KennedyLiberal Democrats10812.6%
Korin Matthew VallanceScottish Green Party8862.2%
Corri WilsonAlba Party4721.2%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Scottish National
Majority: 2329 (4.99%)
Turnout: 64.7%

PartyVotesShare
Scottish National2027243.5%
Conservative1794338.5%
Labour621913.3%
Liberal Democrats21584.6%