Central Ayrshire
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Alan Gemmell
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; SNP: 29.0%; Lab: 22.0% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Lab: 23.0%; SNP: 23.0% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; SNP: 27.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Cons: 11.0% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Lean SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 33.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Cons: 14.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 32.0%; SNP: 29.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Cons: 13.0% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 28.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 10.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 30.0%; SNP: 29.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Cons: 13.0% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 24.0%; SNP: 23.0%; Cons: 22.0%; Ref: 17.0% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 30.0%; Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Cons: 13.0% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up SNP | Vote shares: SNP: 29.0%; Lab: 28.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Ref: 16.0% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe SNP | Victory chances: SNP: 100.0% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6869 (16.58%)
Turnout: 59.67%
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Alan Gemmell | Labour Party | 18091 |
| Annie McIndoe | Scottish National Party (SNP) | 11222 |
| David Rocks | Conservative and Unionist Party | 6147 |
| Kevin Thomas Blades | Reform UK | 3420 |
| Tom Kerr | Scottish Green Party | 1039 |
| Elaine Ford | Liberal Democrats | 983 |
| Louise McDaid | Socialist Labour Party | 329 |
| Allan MacMillan | Social Democratic Party | 188 |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Scottish Nationalist
Majority: 5304 (11.39%)
Turnout: 66.7%
| Party | Votes |
|---|---|
| Scottish Nationalist | 21486 |
| Conservative | 16182 |
| Labour | 6583 |
| Liberal Democrats | 2283 |