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Blaenau Gwent and Rhymney

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Nick Smith
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Lab: 24.0%; PC: 12.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 29.0%; PC: 13.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 26.0%; Ref: 25.0%; Other: 20.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 19.0%; Cons: 16.0%; LD: 15.0%; PC: 13.0%; Other: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; Lab: 28.0%; PC: 13.0%; Cons: 10.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 24.0%; PC: 15.0%; Cons: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 26.0%; Cons: 18.0%; Ref: 17.0%; PC: 15.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 21.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Green: 13.0%; Other: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Ref: 19.0%; PC: 18.0%; Other: 14.0%; Cons: 12.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Safe Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 39.0%; Other: 14.0%; PC: 13.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Lean Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 70.4%; Green: 16.4%; Cons: 11.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 12183 (40.71%)

Candidate	Party	Votes
Nick Smith	Labour Party	16027
Niamh Salkeld	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	3844
Hannah Jarvis	Conservative and Unionist Party	3776
Mike Whatley	Independent	2409
Anne Baker	Green Party	1719
Jackie Charlton	Liberal Democrats	1268
Yas Iqbal	Workers Party of Britain	570
Robert Griffiths	Communist Party of Britain	309

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 12969 (30.80%)
Turnout: 59.2%