Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Brecon, Radnor and Cwm Tawe

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: David Chadwick
Party: Liberal Democrats
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 24%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 17%; PC: 16%; Green: 10%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 25%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 22%; Green: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26%; Cons: 22%; LD: 21%; Lab: 13%; PC: 10%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 21%; PC: 18%; Lab: 13%; LD: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; LD: 18%; Cons: 14%; Lab: 14%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; LD: 26%; Cons: 15%; Lab: 12%
More in Common September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Cons: 19%; LD: 17%; PC: 12%
More in Common July 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; LD: 19%; Lab: 16%; PC: 16%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26%; LD: 22%; Cons: 19%; Lab: 19%; PC: 11%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26%; LD: 25%; Cons: 16%; PC: 15%; Lab: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Ref: 26%; LD: 19%; Lab: 13%
More in Common April 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 22%; LD: 21%; Lab: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 22%; Lab: 20%; LD: 15%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up LD	Vote shares: LD: 28%; Cons: 26%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 12%
More in Common Dec 2024	Likely LD	Victory chances: LD: 82%

2024 results

Winning party: Liberal Democrats
Majority: 1472 (3.16%)
Turnout: 63.66%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
David Chadwick	Liberal Democrats	13736	29.5%
Fay Jones	Conservative and Unionist Party	12264	26.3%
Matthew Dorrance	Labour Party	9904	21.3%
Adam Hill	Reform UK	6567	14.1%
Emily Durrant-Munro	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	2280	4.9%
Amerjit Dhaliwal	Green Party	1188	2.6%
Jonathan Harrington	Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party	372	0.8%
Lady Lily The Pink	The Official Monster Raving Loony Party	237	0.5%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 9091 (17.39%)
Turnout: 72.5%