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Caerphilly

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Chris Evans
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; PC: 22.0%; Lab: 17.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; PC: 24.0%; Lab: 22.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Lab: 23.0%; PC: 17.0%; LD: 12.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; PC: 26.0%; Lab: 16.0%; Cons: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Lab: 24.0%; PC: 22.0%; Cons: 12.0%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; PC: 24.0%; Lab: 23.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 21.0%; Cons: 20.0%; PC: 18.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 18.0%; PC: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Lab: 22.0%; PC: 17.0%; Cons: 13.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 27.0%; PC: 22.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6419 (16.78%)

Candidate	Party	Votes
Chris Evans	Labour and Co-operative Party	14538
Lindsay Geoffrey Whittle	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	8119
Joshua Kim	Reform UK	7754
Brandon Gorman	Conservative and Unionist Party	4385
Steve Aicheler	Liberal Democrats	1788
Mark Thomas	Green Party	1650

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6901 (15.31%)
Turnout: 62.2%