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Caerphilly

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Chris Evans
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 41.0%; PC: 33.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28.0%; Ref: 26.0%; PC: 23.0%; Cons: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; PC: 22.0%; Lab: 17.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; PC: 24.0%; Lab: 22.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Lab: 23.0%; PC: 17.0%; LD: 12.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; PC: 26.0%; Lab: 16.0%; Cons: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Lab: 24.0%; PC: 22.0%; Cons: 12.0%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; PC: 24.0%; Lab: 23.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 21.0%; Cons: 20.0%; PC: 18.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 18.0%; PC: 17.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Lab: 22.0%; PC: 17.0%; Cons: 13.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 27.0%; PC: 22.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6419 (16.78%)

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Chris Evans	Labour and Co-operative Party	14538	38.0%
Lindsay Geoffrey Whittle	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	8119	21.2%
Joshua Kim	Reform UK	7754	20.3%
Brandon Philip Gorman	Conservative and Unionist Party	4385	11.5%
Steve Aicheler	Liberal Democrats	1788	4.7%
Mark Thomas	Green Party	1650	4.3%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 6901 (15.31%)
Turnout: 62.2%