Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Cardiff East

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Jo Stevens
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Green: 16.0%; LD: 14.0%; PC: 12.0%; Cons: 10.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 24.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Green: 18.0%; PC: 17.0%; LD: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 26.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Green: 14.0%; LD: 10.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 22.0%; Ref: 21.0%; LD: 17.0%; PC: 14.0%; Green: 13.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; Lab: 21.0%; Green: 15.0%; PC: 12.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 22.0%; Ref: 21.0%; LD: 18.0%; PC: 17.0%; Cons: 10.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 25.0%; LD: 14.0%; PC: 12.0%; Green: 10.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 22.0%; LD: 15.0%; Green: 14.0%; PC: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 24.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Cons: 16.0%; Green: 13.0%; LD: 13.0%; PC: 13.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 21.0%; Ref: 19.0%; LD: 17.0%; Cons: 15.0%; PC: 14.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31.0%; Ref: 22.0%; PC: 16.0%; Cons: 12.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31.0%; LD: 20.0%; Ref: 15.0%; PC: 12.0%; Green: 11.0%; Cons: 10.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Likely Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 87.0%; Cons: 12.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 9097 (23.25%)
Turnout: 53.68%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Jo Stevens	Labour Party	15833	40.5%
Rodney Berman	Liberal Democrats	6736	17.2%
Lee Canning	Reform UK	4980	12.7%
Sam Coates	Green Party	3916	10.0%
Beatrice Brandon	Conservative and Unionist Party	3913	10.0%
Cadewyn Skelley	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	3550	9.1%
John Williams	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	195	0.5%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 17079 (36.50%)
Turnout: 64.6%