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Cardiff South and Penarth

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Stephen Doughty
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 22.0%; Ref: 20.0%; PC: 17.0%; Green: 13.0%; Cons: 10.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 23.0%; PC: 20.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Green: 16.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Green: 14.0%; PC: 14.0%; Cons: 13.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27.0%; PC: 19.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Cons: 13.0%; Green: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28.0%; Ref: 21.0%; PC: 16.0%; Cons: 14.0%; Green: 11.0%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Green: 19.0%; Cons: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Green: 14.0%; PC: 13.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27.0%; Green: 17.0%; Ref: 17.0%; PC: 16.0%; Cons: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Cons: 16.0%; Green: 12.0%; PC: 10.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35.0%; Green: 16.0%; Cons: 13.0%; Ref: 13.0%; PC: 11.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 96.8%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 11767 (30.03%)
Turnout: 53.62%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Stephen Doughty	Labour and Co-operative Party	17428
Anthony Slaughter	Green Party	5661
Ellis Smith	Conservative and Unionist Party	5459
Simon Llewellyn	Reform UK	4493
Sharifah Rahman	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	3227
Alex Wilson	Liberal Democrats	2908

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 11851 (23.52%)
Turnout: 69.7%