Note: some data is purely for testing

Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Cardiff South and Penarth

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Stephen Doughty
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

ProjectionProjected resultDescription
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026Toss-up RefVote shares: Ref: 23.0%; Green: 21.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Cons: 13.0%; PC: 11.0%
More in Common January 2026Lean LabVote shares: Lab: 29.0%; Green: 21.0%; PC: 20.0%; Ref: 14.0%; Cons: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025Toss-up LabVote shares: Lab: 22.0%; Ref: 20.0%; PC: 17.0%; Green: 13.0%; Cons: 10.0%
YouGov September 2025Toss-up LabVote shares: Lab: 23.0%; PC: 20.0%; Ref: 17.0%; Green: 16.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common September 2025Toss-up RefVote shares: Lab: 27.0%; Ref: 27.0%; Green: 14.0%; PC: 14.0%; Cons: 13.0%
More in Common July 2025Lean LabVote shares: Lab: 27.0%; PC: 19.0%; Ref: 18.0%; Cons: 13.0%; Green: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025Toss-up LabVote shares: Lab: 28.0%; Ref: 21.0%; PC: 16.0%; Cons: 14.0%; Green: 11.0%
YouGov June 2025Lean LabVote shares: Lab: 33.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Green: 19.0%; Cons: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025Toss-up LabVote shares: Lab: 25.0%; Cons: 20.0%; Ref: 16.0%; Green: 14.0%; PC: 13.0%
More in Common April 2025Lean LabVote shares: Lab: 27.0%; Green: 17.0%; Ref: 17.0%; PC: 16.0%; Cons: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025Toss-up LabVote shares: Lab: 28.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Cons: 16.0%; Green: 12.0%; PC: 10.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025Likely LabVote shares: Lab: 35.0%; Green: 16.0%; Cons: 13.0%; Ref: 13.0%; LD: 11.0%; PC: 11.0%
More in Common Dec 2024Safe LabVictory chances: Lab: 96.8%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 11767 (30.03%)
Turnout: 53.62%

CandidatePartyVotesShare
Stephen DoughtyLabour and Co-operative Party1742844.5%
Anthony SlaughterGreen Party566114.5%
Ellis SmithConservative and Unionist Party545913.9%
Simon LlewellynReform UK449311.5%
Sharifah RahmanPlaid Cymru - The Party of Wales32278.2%
Alex WilsonLiberal Democrats29087.4%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 11851 (23.52%)
Turnout: 69.7%

PartyVotesShare
Labour2703053.7%
Conservative1517930.1%
Liberal Democrats35287.0%
Plaid Cymru20914.2%
Reform UK13892.8%
Green11532.3%