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Cardiff South and Penarth

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Stephen Doughty
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up PC	Vote shares: PC: 26%; Green: 25%; Ref: 14%; Lab: 13%; Cons: 10%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Green	Vote shares: Green: 32%; Lab: 27%; Ref: 13%; PC: 11%; Cons: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 23%; Green: 21%; Lab: 20%; Cons: 13%; PC: 11%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Green: 21%; PC: 20%; Ref: 14%; Cons: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 22%; Ref: 20%; PC: 17%; Green: 13%; Cons: 10%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 23%; PC: 20%; Ref: 17%; Green: 16%; Cons: 11%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Ref: 27%; Green: 14%; PC: 14%; Cons: 13%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27%; PC: 19%; Ref: 18%; Cons: 13%; Green: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 21%; PC: 16%; Cons: 14%; Green: 11%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 33%; Ref: 22%; Green: 19%; Cons: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 25%; Cons: 20%; Ref: 16%; Green: 14%; PC: 13%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 27%; Green: 17%; Ref: 17%; PC: 16%; Cons: 12%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28%; Ref: 21%; Cons: 16%; Green: 12%; PC: 10%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Likely Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 35%; Green: 16%; Cons: 13%; Ref: 13%; LD: 11%; PC: 11%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 97%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 11767 (30.03%)
Turnout: 53.62%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Stephen Doughty	Labour and Co-operative Party	17428	44.5%
Anthony Slaughter	Green Party	5661	14.5%
Ellis Smith	Conservative and Unionist Party	5459	13.9%
Simon Llewellyn	Reform UK	4493	11.5%
Sharifah Rahman	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	3227	8.2%
Alex Wilson	Liberal Democrats	2908	7.4%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 11851 (23.52%)
Turnout: 69.7%