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Cardiff West

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Alex Barros-Curtis
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up PC	Vote shares: PC: 24.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 19.0%; Cons: 10.0%
YouGov September 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 38.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 18.0%; Cons: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 18.0%; PC: 18.0%; Green: 17.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up PC	Vote shares: PC: 26.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 21.0%; Cons: 10.0%; LD: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 25.0%; PC: 23.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Cons: 15.0%
YouGov June 2025	Lean PC	Vote shares: PC: 34.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 22.0%; Cons: 21.0%; PC: 19.0%; Ref: 18.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Ref: 19.0%; PC: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 24.0%; Ref: 22.0%; PC: 18.0%; Cons: 17.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28.0%; PC: 21.0%; Cons: 15.0%; Ref: 15.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 99.4%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 7019 (15.68%)
Turnout: 59.13%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Alex Barros-Curtis	Labour Party	16442
Kiera Marshall	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	9423
James Hamblin	Conservative and Unionist Party	6835
Peter Meireon Hopkins	Reform UK	5626
Jess Ryan	Green Party	3157
Manda Rigby	Liberal Democrats	1921
Neil John McEvoy	Propel	1041
John Ernest Urquhart	Independent	241
Sean Wesley	Heritage Party	71

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 10546 (20.30%)
Turnout: 70.2%