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Cardiff West

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Alex Barros-Curtis
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 25.0%; PC: 20.0%; Lab: 17.0%; Cons: 14.0%; Green: 12.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 24.0%; Lab: 21.0%; PC: 21.0%; Green: 14.0%; Cons: 12.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Toss-up PC	Vote shares: PC: 24.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 19.0%; Cons: 10.0%
YouGov September 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 38.0%; Ref: 21.0%; Lab: 18.0%; Cons: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 23.0%; Lab: 18.0%; PC: 18.0%; Green: 17.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Toss-up PC	Vote shares: PC: 26.0%; Ref: 22.0%; Lab: 21.0%; Cons: 10.0%; LD: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 25.0%; PC: 23.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Cons: 15.0%
YouGov June 2025	Lean PC	Vote shares: PC: 34.0%; Lab: 20.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 22.0%; Cons: 21.0%; PC: 19.0%; Ref: 18.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Cons: 22.0%; Lab: 22.0%; Ref: 19.0%; PC: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 24.0%; Ref: 22.0%; PC: 18.0%; Cons: 17.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 28.0%; PC: 21.0%; Cons: 15.0%; Ref: 15.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 99.4%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 7019 (15.68%)
Turnout: 59.13%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Alex Barros-Curtis	Labour Party	16442	36.7%
Kiera Marshall	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	9423	21.1%
James Hamblin	Conservative and Unionist Party	6835	15.3%
Peter Meireon Hopkins	Reform UK	5626	12.6%
Jess Ryan	Green Party	3157	7.1%
Manda Rigby	Liberal Democrats	1921	4.3%
Neil John McEvoy	Propel	1041	2.3%
John Ernest Urquhart	Independent	241	0.5%
Sean Wesley	Heritage Party	71	0.2%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 10546 (20.30%)
Turnout: 70.2%