Cardiff West
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Alex Barros-Curtis
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Likely PC | Vote shares: PC: 32%; Green: 17%; Ref: 16%; Lab: 12%; Cons: 10% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 21%; PC: 21%; Ref: 20%; Green: 16%; Cons: 11% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 25%; PC: 20%; Lab: 17%; Cons: 14%; Green: 12% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 24%; Lab: 21%; PC: 21%; Green: 14%; Cons: 12% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Toss-up PC | Vote shares: PC: 24%; Ref: 23%; Lab: 19%; Cons: 10% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Likely PC | Vote shares: PC: 38%; Ref: 21%; Lab: 18%; Cons: 10% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Toss-up Ref | Vote shares: Ref: 23%; Lab: 18%; PC: 18%; Green: 17%; Cons: 11% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Toss-up PC | Vote shares: PC: 26%; Ref: 22%; Lab: 21%; Cons: 10%; LD: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 25%; PC: 23%; Ref: 23%; Cons: 15% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Lean PC | Vote shares: PC: 34%; Lab: 20%; Ref: 20%; Green: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 22%; Cons: 21%; PC: 19%; Ref: 18% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Cons: 22%; Lab: 22%; Ref: 19%; PC: 16% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 24%; Ref: 22%; PC: 18%; Cons: 17% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Toss-up Lab | Vote shares: Lab: 28%; PC: 21%; Cons: 15%; Ref: 15%; LD: 11% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe Lab | Victory chances: Lab: 99% |
2024 results
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 7019 (15.68%)
Turnout: 59.13%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Barros-Curtis | Labour Party | 16442 | 36.7% |
| Kiera Duncan Marshall | Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales | 9423 | 21.1% |
| James Robert Hamblin | Conservative and Unionist Party | 6835 | 15.3% |
| Peter Meireon Hopkins | Reform UK | 5626 | 12.6% |
| Jess Ryan | Green Party | 3157 | 7.1% |
| Manda Rigby | Liberal Democrats | 1921 | 4.3% |
| Neil John McEvoy | Propel | 1041 | 2.3% |
| John Ernest Urquhart | Independent | 241 | 0.5% |
| Sean Wesley | Heritage Party | 71 | 0.2% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Labour
Majority: 10546 (20.30%)
Turnout: 70.2%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 26051 | 50.2% |
| Conservative | 15505 | 29.9% |
| Plaid Cymru | 4419 | 8.5% |
| Liberal Democrats | 2749 | 5.3% |
| Reform UK | 1917 | 3.7% |
| Green | 1141 | 2.2% |
| Other | 159 | 0.3% |