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Ceredigion Preseli

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Ben Lake
Party: Plaid Cymru
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 46.0%; Ref: 28.0%; LD: 10.0%
YouGov September 2025	Safe PC	Vote shares: PC: 48.0%; Ref: 20.0%
More in Common September 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 40.0%; Ref: 20.0%; Cons: 14.0%
More in Common July 2025	Safe PC	Vote shares: PC: 52.0%; Ref: 20.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 39.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Cons: 12.0%; Lab: 11.0%
YouGov June 2025	Safe PC	Vote shares: PC: 50.0%; Ref: 20.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 38.0%; Ref: 19.0%; Cons: 16.0%; LD: 11.0%
More in Common April 2025	Likely PC	Vote shares: PC: 39.0%; Ref: 19.0%; LD: 18.0%; Cons: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean PC	Vote shares: PC: 34.0%; Ref: 24.0%; Cons: 11.0%; Lab: 11.0%; LD: 10.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Safe PC	Vote shares: PC: 47.0%; Ref: 16.0%; LD: 15.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe PC	Victory chances: PC: 100.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Plaid Cymru
Majority: 14789 (31.94%)
Turnout: 61.17%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Ben Lake	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	21738
Mark Williams	Liberal Democrats	6949
Jackie Jones	Labour and Co-operative Party	5386
Karl Robert Pollard	Reform UK	5374
Aled Thomas	Conservative and Unionist Party	4763
Tomos Barlow	Green Party	1864
Taghrid Al-Mawed	Workers Party of Britain	228

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Plaid Cymru
Majority: 1443 (2.79%)
Turnout: 69.8%