Ceredigion Preseli
Official Parliament web pageCurrent MP
Name: Ben Lake
Party: Plaid Cymru
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You
2029 election
No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.
Projections
| Projection | Projected result | Description |
|---|---|---|
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026 | Safe PC | Vote shares: PC: 47%; Ref: 20%; Green: 11%; LD: 11% |
| More in Common April 2026 | Likely PC | Vote shares: PC: 36%; Ref: 19%; LD: 15%; Green: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026 | Likely PC | Vote shares: PC: 45%; Ref: 30%; LD: 11% |
| More in Common January 2026 | Safe PC | Vote shares: PC: 42%; Ref: 17%; Cons: 15%; Green: 14% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025 | Likely PC | Vote shares: PC: 46%; Ref: 28%; LD: 10% |
| YouGov September 2025 | Safe PC | Vote shares: PC: 48%; Ref: 20% |
| More in Common September 2025 | Likely PC | Vote shares: PC: 40%; Ref: 20%; Cons: 14% |
| More in Common July 2025 | Safe PC | Vote shares: PC: 52%; Ref: 20% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025 | Likely PC | Vote shares: PC: 39%; Ref: 23%; Cons: 12%; Lab: 11% |
| YouGov June 2025 | Safe PC | Vote shares: PC: 50%; Ref: 20% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025 | Likely PC | Vote shares: PC: 38%; Ref: 19%; Cons: 16%; LD: 11% |
| More in Common April 2025 | Likely PC | Vote shares: PC: 39%; Ref: 19%; LD: 18%; Cons: 10% |
| ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025 | Lean PC | Vote shares: PC: 34%; Ref: 24%; Cons: 11%; Lab: 11%; LD: 10% |
| Focaldata Jan 2025 | Safe PC | Vote shares: PC: 47%; Ref: 16%; LD: 15% |
| More in Common Dec 2024 | Safe PC | Victory chances: PC: 100% |
2024 results
Winning party: Plaid Cymru
Majority: 14789 (31.94%)
Turnout: 61.17%
| Candidate | Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Lake | Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales | 21738 | 46.9% |
| Mark Williams | Liberal Democrats | 6949 | 15.0% |
| Jackie Jones | Labour and Co-operative Party | 5386 | 11.6% |
| Karl Robert Pollard | Reform UK | 5374 | 11.6% |
| Aled Thomas | Conservative and Unionist Party | 4763 | 10.3% |
| Tomos Iwan Barlow | Green Party | 1864 | 4.0% |
| Taghrid Al-Mawed | Workers Party of Britain | 228 | 0.5% |
More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"
2019 notional results
(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)
Winning party: Plaid Cymru
Majority: 1443 (2.79%)
Turnout: 69.8%
| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Plaid Cymru | 16045 | 31.1% |
| Conservative | 14602 | 28.3% |
| Labour | 10733 | 20.8% |
| Liberal Democrats | 7561 | 14.6% |
| Reform UK | 2063 | 4.0% |
| Green | 663 | 1.3% |