Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Gerald Jones
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37.0%; Lab: 19.0%; PC: 15.0%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Lab: 27.0%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Other: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39.0%; Lab: 21.0%; PC: 16.0%; LD: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40.0%; Lab: 26.0%; PC: 13.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31.0%; Lab: 26.0%; PC: 21.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 24.0%; Cons: 16.0%; PC: 15.0%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Cons: 17.0%; PC: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32.0%; Lab: 26.0%; PC: 19.0%; Cons: 10.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 34.0%; Ref: 32.0%; PC: 13.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Lean Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 64.6%; Ref: 35.4%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 7447 (21.14%)

Candidate	Party	Votes
Gerald Jones	Labour Party	15791
Gareth Thomas	Reform UK	8344
Francis Whitefoot	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	4768
Amanda Jenner	Conservative and Unionist Party	2687
Jade Smith	Liberal Democrats	1276
David Griffin	Green Party	1231
Anthony Cole	Workers Party of Britain	531
Lorenzo de Gregori	Independent	375
Bob Davenport	Communist Party of Britain	212

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 13410 (31.10%)
Turnout: 57.6%

Party	Votes
Labour	22292
Conservative	8882
Reform UK	4621
Plaid Cymru	3513
Other	2364
Liberal Democrats	1434