Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Mid and South Pembrokeshire

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Henry Tufnell
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus: ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 23.0%
Focaldata: Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 28.0%; Lab: 25.0%; Ref: 24.0%
More in Common: More in Common Dec 2024	Likely Cons	Victory chances: Cons: 86.6%; Lab: 10.8%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 1878 (4.02%)

Candidate	Party	Votes
Henry Tufnell	Labour Party	16505
Stephen Crabb	Conservative and Unionist Party	14627
Stuart Marchant	Reform UK	7828
Cris Tomos	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	2962
Alistair Cameron	Liberal Democrats	2372
James Henry Purchase	Green Party	1654
Vusi Siphika	Independent	427
Hanna Andersen	Women's Equality Party	254

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 8621 (15.68%)
Turnout: 71.6%